Thursday, May 25, 2017

1QFY17 earnings disappointing. Lafarge’s registered its 1QFY17 PATAMI lower at –RM48.8m (-179.8%YoY) weighted by lower sales of RM561.8m (-15.6%YoY) and an unswerving operational expenditure of RM573.7b (4.1%YoY) (Figure 1). As a result, Lafarge’s 1QFY17 PATAMI came in lower than expected registering a disappointing -44.3% of ours and 20% of consensus’ full-year forecast respectively.


Results swayed by headstrong OPEX and weak demand. We reaffirm our view that Lafarge’s earnings slipped to red due to the following: i. Price competition and persisting production from other cement manufacturers such as Hume, YTL and Tasek leads to oversupply of cement which muted demand. Hence, building materials sector is inundated with excess supply of cement especially for Ordinary Portland Cement (OPC) where it is competing in a homogenous market. Continued insipid sales (Figure 1) are leading telltale signs of weak earnings underway. Recovery will not be swift unless Lafarge manages to obtain concessions of cement supply to the High Speed Rail and East Coast Railway Link. ii. OPEX remains a blot on Lafarge cost structure – influencing a negative bottom line. For the past 9 quarters, revenue struggled to breach RM700m but opex remains at a median of RM564.4m (Figure 2). The impact of unwavering opex determines the direction of Lafarge’s earnings – at this juncture we reckon that it will not dissipate easily due to production capacity operating at FY14/15 levels which is above 60%. For 1QFY17, Opex increased from RM551.0m to RM573.7m (4.1%YoY) implying inelastic pricing and cost structure.


Recommendation. We maintain our Sell recommendation with TP of RM3.80 per share by pegging our revised FYE18 EPS of 13.8 sen to PER multiple of 27.5x reflecting its 3-year historical average.

  • We maintain our SELL recommendation with a TP of RM3.80 per share
MIDF RESEARCH

Lafarge - A Disappointing Start


https://klse.i3investor.com/blogs/midfresearch/123379.jsp


MMMMMMMMMMM

星期二出席高教会议

隔壁会议厅就是LAFARGE  洋灰的


股东大会



Image result for LAFARGE



午餐时间


我是食用主办当局IDEAS 机构的午餐和小点心。。。


图片可能包含:一人或多人和一群人在舞台上



好死不死, 那个SIME DARBY CONVENTION CENTER 的死肥仔

朱头CAPTAIN, 大声在叫喊,竟然叫印度WAITER ,拿掉我的食物,放在一边,叫我去LAFARGE的食物摊位。。这边的食物不可以吃。。。。很没有礼貌。。。


我说, 我是出席高教会议的。


过后印度水去问主办当局, 说是呀。


就把食物给回我。


莫名其妙, 这个会议中心真的有鬼咩


。。。。???


那里有这样的傻脑。。。抢你的食物。。


。。。


这种水准, 已经是到了江河日下。。。

服务是九流了, 还抢出席客人的食物。。。

这样的公司, 也是叫人摇头了


一个CAPTAIN, 已经那么没有礼貌,

大声喊叫,

非常无礼貌,


对客人没礼貌, 抢客人食物,


忍着


没有丢盘子过去。。。


SIME DARBY 实在是。。。。


丢。。。。


SPEECHLESS


真的没有水准可言



基本的礼仪, 应该有,


工作人员应该礼貌


不是喊。。。


这种场面


对LAFMSIA  的股东, IDEAS 的出席者、客人, 是很不礼貌。。。非常的无礼。。


难道


SIME  DARBY  


。。。。


已经江河日下到这个程度吗?




vvvvvvvvvv


可能是暗示吧


。。。。


昨天就进三粒LAFMSIA,   5.14


今天5.25    卖掉


......


卖了后,才看到新闻。。。原来


新闻说, 公司无盈利,还在亏本。。



丢, 这是乱买乱卖。。。


现在 是RM5.28



世事如棋局局新


vvvvvvvvvv

其实

买入的原因是以为5元,5令吉

算便宜了。。。

因为

1月12日,LAFMSIA(  辣孚虾、辣苦虾)

LAFARGE(辣花鸡)

是RM7.20 --7.34

(那时候,会以为7元是合理价格,

值得7元, 因此, 老的散户就会

继续买入。。。。

之后, 再继续下跌。。。。

股市就是那样。。。。。。。

理由是 需求少了很多,竞争激烈。。。等等

因此, 无法回头了)

其他股票价格,顺便记录:

AIRASIA  RM2.38

HEIM RM16.40

TASEK RM 12.70

APEX  RM1.36

CMSB  3.89

PRESBHD  2.18

MNC  7SEN 

PUC  7SEN
KBUNAI 5 SEN

HALEX  43SEN


MCLEAN   16SEN 


竞争激烈下

小国的蛋糕

太小。。。。。

(想想如果 YTLCEMENT  没有除牌

会是那个价位呢??)


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